Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArlanda to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.98
Piteå vs Arlanda preview and prediction
The match
Arlanda travel to LF Arena in the Ettan Norra on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT) to face Piteå. Piteå are 14th with 27 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Arlanda sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Piteå's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Hammarby Talang 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Arlanda's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Enköping 7–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Arlanda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Piteå and 2.0 for Arlanda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Piteå 19%, draw 18%, Arlanda 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arlanda to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Piteå 0–2 Arlanda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Piteå19%fair 5.15 · @3.90
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @3.80
Arlanda62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
3.00Expected goals
0.99Piteå xG
2.00Arlanda xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Piteå 1.0 – 2.0 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.98
–
Form
Piteå – last 3
LLL
19 Apr
vs Hammarby Talang
1–4
L
12 Apr
vs Assyriska FF
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ IF Karlstad
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arlanda – last 4
WWWD
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
12 Apr
@ Umeå FC
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Vasalund
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piteå and Arlanda.
Our pick is Arlanda to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Piteå vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Piteå have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Arlanda 62%.
How many goals will there be in Piteå vs Arlanda?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piteå vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Piteå 0–2 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Piteå vs Arlanda?
Piteå vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at LF Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
