Kashima host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT) at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Tokyo's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Kashima and 1.2 for FC Tokyo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kashima 41%, draw 24%, FC Tokyo 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kashima 1–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima41%fair 2.41 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
FC Tokyo34%fair 2.92 · @2.75
2.52Expected goals
1.34Kashima xG
1.18FC Tokyo xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.3 – 1.2 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
41%
2.41
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.31
–
Form
Kashima – last 6
WWLWWW
17 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
6 May
vs Mito Hollyhock
3–0
W
29 Apr
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Urawa
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 6
WLWWWW
10 May
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–1
W
6 May
vs JEF United Chiba
0–3
L
2 May
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–1
W
24 Apr
vs Mito Hollyhock
5–2
W
11 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and FC Tokyo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Kashima have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Tokyo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs FC Tokyo?
Kashima vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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