Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.78
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Nagoya Grampus travel to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima in the J1 League on Saturday 23 May (06:00 WAT) to face Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Kyoto Sanga 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Cerezo Osaka 1–6 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.0 for Nagoya Grampus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61%, draw 23%, Nagoya Grampus 16%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.85
Nagoya Grampus16%fair 6.27 · @4.50
3.01Expected goals
2.03Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.97Nagoya Grampus xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0 – 1.0 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nagoya Grampus 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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