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J1 League · Japan · Nissan Stadium

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction

The match

The J1 League sees Yokohama F. Marinos take on Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Nissan Stadium. Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Machida Zelvia 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Kashiwa Reysol 3–0 Yokohama F. Marinos.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.4 for Kashiwa Reysol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Yokohama F. Marinos35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
2.70Expected goals
1.29Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.42Kashiwa Reysol xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.3 – 1.4 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓41%2.432.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.771.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol ✓23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.55–

Form

Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6

LWWLLL
6 May@ Machida Zelvia0–2L
29 Apr@ JEF United Chiba3–2W
25 Apr@ Urawa3–2W
18 Aprvs Kawasaki Frontale1–2L
11 Aprvs FC Tokyo1–3L
5 Apr@ Kashiwa Reysol0–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

WLLLLL
10 Mayvs Kawasaki Frontale1–0W
6 Mayvs Urawa0–1L
3 May@ Tokyo Verdy0–1L
29 Aprvs FC Tokyo1–3L
24 Aprvs Kashima0–1L
19 Apr@ Mito Hollyhock0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Yokohama F. Marinos3–0
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashiwa Reysol 41%.

How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.