Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokyo Verdy to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy travel to K's Denki Stadium Mito in the J1 League on Saturday 16 May (06:00 WAT) to face Mito Hollyhock. Mito Hollyhock are 9th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Urawa 1–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.4 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mito Hollyhock 33%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 57% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.00
Tokyo Verdy41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.60Expected goals
1.22Mito Hollyhock xG
1.38Tokyo Verdy xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.2 – 1.4 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokyo Verdy to win✓
41%
2.44
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tokyo Verdy / FT Tokyo Verdy✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Form
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LLLWLW
9 May
vs Urawa
1–4
L
6 May
@ Kashima
0–3
L
24 Apr
@ FC Tokyo
2–5
L
19 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LLWWWL
10 May
@ FC Tokyo
1–2
L
6 May
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
3 May
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Kashima
2–1
W
18 Apr
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ JEF United Chiba
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tokyo Verdy 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
