Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Kashiwa Reysol or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.68
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Tokyo Verdy take on Kashiwa Reysol on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 06:03 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Kashima 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Tokyo Verdy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.7 for Kashiwa Reysol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 20%, draw 23%, Kashiwa Reysol 57%.
Safer route: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Kashiwa Reysol to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashiwa Reysol or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.20
Kashiwa Reysol57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
2.56Expected goals
0.87Tokyo Verdy xG
1.69Kashiwa Reysol xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.9 – 1.7 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Kashiwa Reysol or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kashiwa Reysol 57%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 06:03 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cerezo Osaka1
Avispa Fukuoka1
V-varen Nagasaki1
Nagoya Grampus2