Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Cerezo Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.95 – our chance 65% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗65% · @1.95
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.16
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Cerezo Osaka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Cerezo Osaka and 0.7 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 1.95 – 65% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerezo Osaka or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka65%fair 1.55 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.45
Avispa Fukuoka13%fair 7.52 · @3.70
2.60Expected goals
1.88Cerezo Osaka xG
0.72Avispa Fukuoka xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.9 – 0.7 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avispa Fukuoka 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tokyo Verdy1
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