Thursday, 12 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
J1 League · Japan · Peace Stadium
1–1
–Pens 5–6

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.69

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction

The match

The J1 League sees V-varen Nagasaki take on Gamba Osaka on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT) at Peace Stadium. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).

Form guide

V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Gamba Osaka's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Gamba Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.6 for Gamba Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

V-varen Nagasaki28%fair 3.59 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.45
Gamba Osaka51%fair 1.95 · @2.00
2.77Expected goals
1.12V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.64Gamba Osaka xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.1 – 1.6 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGamba Osaka to win ✗51%1.952.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.69–

Form

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

LLLWLW
18 Apr@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2L
11 Apr@ Avispa Fukuoka0–1L
5 Aprvs Shimizu S-pulse0–3L
21 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama1–0W
18 Marvs Kyoto Sanga1–2L
15 Marvs Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gamba Osaka – last 6

LWLLWL
22 Aprvs Avispa Fukuoka1–2L
15 Apr@ Bangkok United3–0W
11 Aprvs Cerezo Osaka0–1L
8 Aprvs Bangkok United0–1L
4 Aprvs Kyoto Sanga2–0W
14 Mar@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Gamba Osaka v V-varen Nagasaki3–2
V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gamba Osaka 51%.

How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.