Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Shimizu S-pulse take on Nagoya Grampus on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.4 for Nagoya Grampus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shimizu S-pulse 36%, draw 24%, Nagoya Grampus 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Nagoya Grampus40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
2.81Expected goals
1.36Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.44Nagoya Grampus xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.4 – 1.4 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
40%
2.51
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 5
WLWWD
5 Apr
@ V-varen Nagasaki
3–0
W
1 Apr
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 5
WWLWL
4 Apr
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
14 Mar
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
7 Mar
@ Avispa Fukuoka
5–1
W
21 Feb
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nagoya Grampus 40%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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