Value bet: Avispa Fukuoka to win @ 3.30 – our chance 40% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvispa Fukuoka to win ✗40% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Fagiano Okayama take on Avispa Fukuoka on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Kyoto Sanga 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Gamba Osaka 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Avispa Fukuoka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.4 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Avispa Fukuoka to win at 3.30 – 40% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama36%fair 2.81 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Avispa Fukuoka40%fair 2.49 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.30Fagiano Okayama xG
1.39Avispa Fukuoka xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.3 – 1.4 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avispa Fukuoka to win✗
40%
2.49
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LLLWWL
11 Apr
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–5
L
5 Apr
vs Vissel Kobe
1–4
L
21 Mar
vs V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
WWWLLL
22 Apr
@ Gamba Osaka
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avispa Fukuoka 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Fagiano Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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