Value bet: Kashima to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Kashiwa Reysol take on Kashima on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol are 8th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Urawa 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Kashima 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.3 for Kashima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashiwa Reysol38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Kashima38%fair 2.63 · @3.20
2.58Expected goals
1.29Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.29Kashima xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 1.3 – 1.3 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kashima 38%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
