Value bet: FC Tokyo to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock preview and prediction
The match
Mito Hollyhock travel to Ajinomoto Stadium in the J1 League on Friday 24 April (11:00 WAT) to face FC Tokyo. FC Tokyo are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Mito Hollyhock sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Yokohama F. Marinos 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for FC Tokyo and 0.8 for Mito Hollyhock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 64%, draw 24%, Mito Hollyhock 13%.
Safer route: FC Tokyo or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: FC Tokyo to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.55
Mito Hollyhock13%fair 7.88 · @5.00
2.67Expected goals
1.92FC Tokyo xG
0.75Mito Hollyhock xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.9 – 0.8 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
FC Tokyo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
FC Tokyo ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Form
FC Tokyo – last 6
WWWWLW
11 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 5
WLWLD
19 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tokyo and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mito Hollyhock 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock?
FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
