Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokyo Verdy to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.43
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba preview and prediction
The match
JEF United Chiba travel to Ajinomoto Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 18 April (07:00 WAT) to face Tokyo Verdy. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while JEF United Chiba sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to JEF United Chiba 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
JEF United Chiba's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished JEF United Chiba 3–2 Tokyo Verdy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.2 for JEF United Chiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 45%, draw 23%, JEF United Chiba 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 JEF United Chiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy45%fair 2.20 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
JEF United Chiba32%fair 3.13 · @3.25
2.62Expected goals
1.45Tokyo Verdy xG
1.16JEF United Chiba xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.5 – 1.2 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and JEF United Chiba 32%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 1–1 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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