Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.34
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Sanfrecce Hiroshima take on V-varen Nagasaki on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.8 for V-varen Nagasaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.33
V-varen Nagasaki15%fair 6.58 · @6.00
2.82Expected goals
2.01Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.81V-varen Nagasaki xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0 – 0.8 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.34
–
Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
LLLLWW
5 Apr
vs Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LLWLWL
11 Apr
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Shimizu S-pulse
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ Fagiano Okayama
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gamba Osaka
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and V-varen Nagasaki 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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