Value bet: Kashima to win @ 2.65 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓44% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Kashima take on Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Kashima and 1.5 for Kashiwa Reysol. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 2.65 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima44%fair 2.29 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol35%fair 2.90 · @2.50
3.16Expected goals
1.69Kashima xG
1.47Kashiwa Reysol xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.7 – 1.5 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
44%
2.29
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Kashima – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Kashima have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashiwa Reysol 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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