Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Nagoya Grampus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Nagoya Grampus to win @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNagoya Grampus to win ✗60% · @1.93
Double chanceNagoya Grampus or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki preview and prediction
The match
Nagoya Grampus host V-varen Nagasaki in the J1 League on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are 3rd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Nagoya Grampus and 0.7 for V-varen Nagasaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nagoya Grampus 60%, draw 21%, V-varen Nagasaki 19%.
Safer route: Nagoya Grampus or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Nagoya Grampus to win at 1.93 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nagoya Grampus or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nagoya Grampus60%fair 1.67 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
V-varen Nagasaki19%fair 5.18 · @3.80
2.33Expected goals
1.59Nagoya Grampus xG
0.74V-varen Nagasaki xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 1.6 – 0.7 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✗
60%
1.67
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Nagoya Grampus or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.32
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nagoya Grampus / FT Nagoya Grampus✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Nagoya Grampus
No recent results on record.
V-varen Nagasaki – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nagoya Grampus and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Nagoya Grampus or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and V-varen Nagasaki 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 1–0 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Nagoya Grampus vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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