Value angle: Penapolense to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Taquaritinga 1–1 Penapolense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Taquaritinga35%fair 2.89 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Penapolense40%fair 2.52 · @2.70
2.17Expected goals
1.03Taquaritinga xG
1.14Penapolense xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Taquaritinga 1.0 – 1.1 Penapolense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penapolense to win✗
40%
2.52
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penapolense / FT Penapolense✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Taquaritinga
No recent results on record.
Penapolense – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs ECUS
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Taquaritinga and Penapolense.
What is the prediction for Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
On our numbers Taquaritinga have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Penapolense 40%.
How many goals will there be in Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
Our predicted score is Taquaritinga 1–1 Penapolense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Taquaritinga vs Penapolense?
Taquaritinga vs Penapolense (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.