Value angle: Barretos to win at 2.25 – 52% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Jabaquara 0–1 Barretos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jabaquara24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.88
Barretos52%fair 1.92 · @2.25
1.75Expected goals
0.62Jabaquara xG
1.13Barretos xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–017%
1–112%
0–211%
1–011%
1–27%
From our goals model: Jabaquara 0.6 – 1.1 Barretos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barretos to win✓
52%
1.92
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barretos / FT Barretos✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
20%
5.10
–
Form
Jabaquara
No recent results on record.
Barretos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jabaquara and Barretos.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jabaquara vs Barretos?
On our numbers Jabaquara have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barretos 52%.
How many goals will there be in Jabaquara vs Barretos?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jabaquara vs Barretos?
Our predicted score is Jabaquara 0–1 Barretos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Jabaquara vs Barretos?
Jabaquara vs Barretos (Paulista A4) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.