Value bet: Ituano to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultXV de Piracicaba to win37% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.76
XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano preview and prediction
The match
The Paulista A2 sees XV de Piracicaba take on Ituano on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for XV de Piracicaba and 1.0 for Ituano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: XV de Piracicaba 37%, draw 26%, Ituano 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Ituano to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Ituano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
XV de Piracicaba37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.88
Ituano37%fair 2.72 · @3.30
2.10Expected goals
1.06XV de Piracicaba xG
1.05Ituano xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: XV de Piracicaba 1.1 – 1.0 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
XV de Piracicaba to win
37%
2.68
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.76
–
Form
XV de Piracicaba
No recent results on record.
Ituano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between XV de Piracicaba and Ituano.
What is the prediction for XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
On our numbers XV de Piracicaba have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ituano 37%.
How many goals will there be in XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is XV de Piracicaba 1–1 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano?
XV de Piracicaba vs Ituano (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Juventus
Votuporanguense
Santo André
Grêmio Prudente
Taubaté
Monte Azul
Sao Bento
Oeste
Inter De Limeira
Linense
Ferroviária
Sertãozinho
São José EC1
Água Santa0