Ferroviária host Sertãozinho in the Paulista A2 on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Ferroviária and 0.5 for Sertãozinho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferroviária66%fair 1.51 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.45
Sertãozinho9%fair 10.53 · @5.40
2.30Expected goals
1.77Ferroviária xG
0.54Sertãozinho xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.8 – 0.5 Sertãozinho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferroviária to win
66%
1.51
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Ferroviária or draw
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Ferroviária ahead at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferroviária / FT Ferroviária
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.67
–
Form
Ferroviária
No recent results on record.
Sertãozinho
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferroviária and Sertãozinho.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sertãozinho 9%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Sertãozinho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho?
Ferroviária vs Sertãozinho (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.