Value bet: Monte Azul to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonte Azul to win38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.54
Taubaté vs Monte Azul preview and prediction
The match
Monte Azul travel to face Taubaté in the Paulista A2 on Saturday 14 February (19:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Taubaté and 1.2 for Monte Azul. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Taubaté 36%, draw 26%, Monte Azul 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Monte Azul to win at 2.85 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Taubaté 1–1 Monte Azul. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Taubaté36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Monte Azul38%fair 2.60 · @2.85
2.31Expected goals
1.13Taubaté xG
1.18Monte Azul xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Taubaté 1.1 – 1.2 Monte Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monte Azul to win
38%
2.60
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monte Azul / FT Monte Azul
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.54
–
Form
Taubaté
No recent results on record.
Monte Azul
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Taubaté and Monte Azul.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
On our numbers Taubaté have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monte Azul 38%.
How many goals will there be in Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
Our predicted score is Taubaté 1–1 Monte Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Taubaté vs Monte Azul?
Taubaté vs Monte Azul (Paulista A2) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A2 · Brazil
Juventus
Votuporanguense
Santo André
Grêmio Prudente
Sao Bento
Oeste
Inter De Limeira
Linense
Ferroviária
Sertãozinho
XV de Piracicaba
Ituano
São José EC1
Água Santa0