Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEngland to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓88% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.87
England vs Uruguay preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees England take on Uruguay on Friday 27 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Wembley Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for England and 0.7 for Uruguay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: England 65%, draw 23%, Uruguay 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: England 1–0 Uruguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
England65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.85
Uruguay12%fair 8.41 · @7.00
2.55Expected goals
1.87England xG
0.68Uruguay xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: England 1.9 – 0.7 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✗
65%
1.55
1.50
Double chance
England or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.87
–
Form
England
No recent results on record.
Uruguay
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Uruguay.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win England vs Uruguay?
On our numbers England have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Uruguay 12%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Uruguay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Uruguay?
Our predicted score is England 1–0 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is England vs Uruguay?
England vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Wembley Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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