Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Brazil to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrazil to win ✓66% · @1.80
Double chanceBrazil or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.06
Brazil vs Croatia preview and prediction
The match
Brazil host Croatia in the Friendlies on Wednesday 1 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Camping World Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Brazil and 0.9 for Croatia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brazil 66%, draw 19%, Croatia 16%.
Safer route: Brazil or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Brazil to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Brazil or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brazil 2–0 Croatia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brazil66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.80
Croatia16%fair 6.37 · @4.00
2.99Expected goals
2.09Brazil xG
0.90Croatia xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Brazil 2.1 – 0.9 Croatia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brazil to win✓
66%
1.52
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Brazil or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Brazil ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brazil / FT Brazil✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.06
–
Form
Brazil – last 1
L
26 Mar
vs France
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Croatia – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Colombia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Croatia.
Our pick is Brazil or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Brazil vs Croatia?
On our numbers Brazil have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Croatia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Croatia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Croatia?
Our predicted score is Brazil 2–0 Croatia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brazil vs Croatia?
Brazil vs Croatia (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Camping World Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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