Boston River vs Racing Montevideo prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Montevideo to win @ 2.85 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✗42% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Boston River vs Racing Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Boston River take on Racing Montevideo on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones Olimpicos.
Form guide
Racing Montevideo's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Albion FC 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Boston River and 1.2 for Racing Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boston River 33%, draw 26%, Racing Montevideo 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Racing Montevideo to win at 2.85 – 42% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Boston River 1–1 Racing Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boston River33%fair 3.08 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.15
Racing Montevideo42%fair 2.41 · @2.85
2.33Expected goals
1.13Boston River xG
1.20Racing Montevideo xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Boston River 1.1 – 1.2 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Montevideo to win✗
42%
2.41
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Montevideo / FT Racing Montevideo✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.67
–
Form
Boston River – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Danubio
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Racing Montevideo – last 3
WWD
28 Feb
@ Albion FC
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Danubio
4–0
W
15 Feb
@ Club Nacional
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boston River and Racing Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Boston River have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Racing Montevideo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Boston River 1–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boston River vs Racing Montevideo?
Boston River vs Racing Montevideo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones Olimpicos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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