Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✗60% · @1.64
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino preview and prediction
The match
Universidad de Chile host Palestino in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Thursday 5 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Universidad de Chile and 1.0 for Palestino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad de Chile 60%, draw 23%, Palestino 17%.
Safer route: Universidad de Chile or draw (83%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Universidad de Chile 2–0 Palestino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad de Chile60%fair 1.66 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.75
Palestino17%fair 5.86 · @5.20
2.89Expected goals
1.94Universidad de Chile xG
0.95Palestino xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Universidad de Chile 1.9 – 1.0 Palestino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✗
60%
1.66
1.64
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Universidad de Chile – last 1
D
23 Feb
vs Deportes Limache
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Palestino – last 2
WL
1 Mar
vs O'Higgins
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Huachipato
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Chile and Palestino.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
On our numbers Universidad de Chile have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palestino 17%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Chile 2–0 Palestino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Chile vs Palestino?
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Nacional1
Millonarios3
Sportivo Trinidense0
Olimpia1
Boston River1
Racing Montevideo0