Value bet: Pouso Alegre to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUberlandia to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre preview and prediction
The match
Uberlandia host Pouso Alegre in the Mineiro 1 on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Uberlandia and 1.3 for Pouso Alegre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Pouso Alegre to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Uberlandia 1–1 Pouso Alegre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uberlandia43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Pouso Alegre34%fair 2.91 · @3.40
2.78Expected goals
1.49Uberlandia xG
1.29Pouso Alegre xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Uberlandia 1.5 – 1.3 Pouso Alegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uberlandia to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uberlandia / FT Uberlandia✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Uberlandia
No recent results on record.
Pouso Alegre
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uberlandia and Pouso Alegre.
What is the prediction for Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
On our numbers Uberlandia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pouso Alegre 34%.
How many goals will there be in Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
Our predicted score is Uberlandia 1–1 Pouso Alegre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre?
Uberlandia vs Pouso Alegre (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 1 · Brazil
America Mineiro2
North Esporte1
Athletic Club1
Tombense1
Democrata GV0
Betim1
Itabirito2
Atletico-MG7
Uniao Trabalhadores1
Cruzeiro2