Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Tombense to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.70
Athletic Club vs Tombense preview and prediction
The match
Tombense travel to face Athletic Club in the Mineiro 1 on Saturday 14 February (23:00 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Athletic Club and 1.1 for Tombense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Athletic Club 39%, draw 25%, Tombense 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Tombense to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Athletic Club 1–1 Tombense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Athletic Club39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Tombense35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.37Expected goals
1.23Athletic Club xG
1.14Tombense xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.2 – 1.1 Tombense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
39%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.70
–
Form
Athletic Club
No recent results on record.
Tombense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Tombense.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Tombense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Tombense?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tombense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Tombense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Tombense?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–1 Tombense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Tombense?
Athletic Club vs Tombense (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 1 · Brazil
America Mineiro2
North Esporte1
Democrata GV0
Betim1
Itabirito2
Atletico-MG7
Uberlandia0
Pouso Alegre2
Uniao Trabalhadores1
Cruzeiro2