Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Itabirito vs Atletico-MG preview and prediction
The match
Itabirito host Atletico-MG in the Mineiro 1 on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.5 for Itabirito and 1.9 for Atletico-MG. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Itabirito 0–1 Atletico-MG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Itabirito10%fair 10.43 · @10.25
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.10
Atletico-MG72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
2.47Expected goals
0.52Itabirito xG
1.95Atletico-MG xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–216%
0–310%
1–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Itabirito 0.5 – 1.9 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico-MG to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Double chance
Atletico-MG or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Atletico-MG ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico-MG / FT Atletico-MG✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.07
–
Form
Itabirito
No recent results on record.
Atletico-MG
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Itabirito and Atletico-MG.
What is the prediction for Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
On our numbers Itabirito have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico-MG 72%.
How many goals will there be in Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
Our predicted score is Itabirito 0–1 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Itabirito vs Atletico-MG?
Itabirito vs Atletico-MG (Mineiro 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 1 · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes
America Mineiro2
North Esporte1
Athletic Club1
Tombense1
Democrata GV0
Betim1
Uberlandia0
Pouso Alegre2
Uniao Trabalhadores1
Cruzeiro2