Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeones de Rosario to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Lugano vs Leones de Rosario preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Lugano take on Leones de Rosario on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Lugano are 7th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Leones de Rosario sit 4th on 51 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lugano's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Puerto Nuevo 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leones de Rosario's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Yupanqui 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Lugano and 1.0 for Leones de Rosario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lugano 34%, draw 26%, Leones de Rosario 40%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Lugano 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lugano34%fair 2.96 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Leones de Rosario40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
1.97Expected goals
0.92Lugano xG
1.05Leones de Rosario xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lugano 0.9 – 1.0 Leones de Rosario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones de Rosario to win✗
40%
2.49
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Lugano – last 6
WDWLDW
6 Sep
@ Puerto Nuevo
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Lujan
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leones de Rosario – last 6
WWWLWD
4 Sep
@ Yupanqui
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Atletico Atlas
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Deportivo Muñiz
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Canuelas
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Centro Español
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano and Leones de Rosario.
What is the prediction for Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
On our numbers Lugano have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leones de Rosario 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
Our predicted score is Lugano 0–1 Leones de Rosario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lugano vs Leones de Rosario?
Lugano vs Leones de Rosario (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Atlas0
Canuelas2
Central Ballester2
Deportivo Muñiz0
Yupanqui1
El Porvenir1