Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud Unida to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.49
Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir preview and prediction
The match
Juventud Unida host El Porvenir in the Primera C on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Juventud Unida are 8th with 45 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while El Porvenir sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Juventud Unida's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to JJ Urquiza 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
El Porvenir's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Central Cordoba 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Juventud Unida and 0.9 for El Porvenir. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventud Unida 44%, draw 24%, El Porvenir 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.50.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 50% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Juventud Unida 1–0 El Porvenir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventud Unida44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.75
El Porvenir32%fair 3.12 · @3.10
1.96Expected goals
1.09Juventud Unida xG
0.87El Porvenir xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juventud Unida 1.1 – 0.9 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Unida to win✗
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.50 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud Unida / FT Juventud Unida✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.49
–
Form
Juventud Unida – last 6
LWWLWD
6 Sep
@ JJ Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mercedes
4–1
W
25 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Puerto Nuevo
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
El Porvenir – last 6
LWDWLD
5 Sep
@ Central Cordoba
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Claypole
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Yupanqui
0–3
L
4 Aug
vs Fénix
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Unida and El Porvenir.
What is the prediction for Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?
On our numbers Juventud Unida have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Porvenir 32%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?
Our predicted score is Juventud Unida 1–0 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir?
Juventud Unida vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Atlas0
Canuelas2
Central Ballester2
Deportivo Muñiz0
Yupanqui1
Leones de Rosario0