Central Ballester vs Puerto Nuevo prediction & analysis

Very little separates Central Ballester and Puerto Nuevo on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Central Ballester have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Puerto Nuevo have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Central Ballester, 1.0 for Puerto Nuevo). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).

In their last 1 meeting, Central Ballester have won 0, Puerto Nuevo have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.38 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).