Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario prediction & analysis

Canuelas vs Leones de Rosario preview and prediction

The match

The Primera C sees Canuelas take on Leones de Rosario on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Canuelas are 2nd with 61 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Leones de Rosario sit 4th on 51 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Canuelas's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Estrella Del Sur 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Leones de Rosario's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Defensores de Cambaceres 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Canuelas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Canuelas and 1.1 for Leones de Rosario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Canuelas 33%, draw 24%, Leones de Rosario 42%.
• Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
• Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Canuelas 0–1 Leones de Rosario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.