Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacachispas to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Mercedes vs Sacachispas preview and prediction
The match
Mercedes host Sacachispas in the Primera C on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Mercedes are 5th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sacachispas sit 2nd on 50 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mercedes's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Claypole 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sacachispas's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Español 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sacachispas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Mercedes and 1.0 for Sacachispas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Mercedes 0–1 Sacachispas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mercedes33%fair 2.99 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.70
Sacachispas39%fair 2.55 · @2.55
1.96Expected goals
0.93Mercedes xG
1.03Sacachispas xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mercedes 0.9 – 1.0 Sacachispas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacachispas to win✗
39%
2.55
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Mercedes – last 6
LLDWWD
18 Aug
@ Claypole
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sacachispas – last 6
DWWLDW
17 Aug
@ Deportivo Español
0–0
D
10 Aug
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Atletico Atlas
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ Puerto Nuevo
0–1
L
27 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mercedes and Sacachispas.
What is the prediction for Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
On our numbers Mercedes have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sacachispas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
Our predicted score is Mercedes 0–1 Sacachispas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mercedes vs Sacachispas?
Mercedes vs Sacachispas (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Yupanqui0
Atletico Atlas2
Canuelas1
Leones de Rosario0