Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeandro N. Alem to win ✗37% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano preview and prediction
The match
Leandro N. Alem host Lugano in the Primera C on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Leandro N. Alem are 13th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Lugano sit 7th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leandro N. Alem's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Central Ballester 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lugano's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Lujan 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Leandro N. Alem and 1.2 for Lugano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leandro N. Alem 37%, draw 25%, Lugano 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leandro N. Alem37%fair 2.68 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Lugano37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
2.34Expected goals
1.17Leandro N. Alem xG
1.17Lugano xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leandro N. Alem 1.2 – 1.2 Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leandro N. Alem to win✗
37%
2.68
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leandro N. Alem / FT Leandro N. Alem✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
LLDLWL
15 Aug
@ Central Ballester
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
27 Jul
@ Sacachispas
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Canuelas
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lugano – last 6
LDWWWD
16 Aug
vs Lujan
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Centro Español
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Sportivo Barracas
3–2
W
12 Jul
@ Juventud Unida
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leandro N. Alem and Lugano.
What is the prediction for Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?
On our numbers Leandro N. Alem have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lugano 37%.
How many goals will there be in Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?
Our predicted score is Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano?
Leandro N. Alem vs Lugano (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Yupanqui0
Atletico Atlas2
Canuelas1
Leones de Rosario0