Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Puerto Nuevo to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Nuevo to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chancePuerto Nuevo or draw ✗87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.00
Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo preview and prediction
The match
Puerto Nuevo host Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Puerto Nuevo are 9th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Paraguayo sit 12th on 32 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Puerto Nuevo's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Central Ballester 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo Paraguayo's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Lujan 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Puerto Nuevo and 0.5 for Deportivo Paraguayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Nuevo 61%, draw 26%, Deportivo Paraguayo 13%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Puerto Nuevo to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Puerto Nuevo 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Nuevo61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Deportivo Paraguayo13%fair 7.65 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.48Puerto Nuevo xG
0.52Deportivo Paraguayo xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Puerto Nuevo 1.5 – 0.5 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Nuevo to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Puerto Nuevo or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Nuevo / FT Puerto Nuevo✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.00
–
Form
Puerto Nuevo – last 6
LLWLDD
12 Sep
@ Central Ballester
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Lugano
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Yupanqui
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6
LWDWLL
12 Sep
@ Lujan
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Leandro N. Alem
4–1
W
29 Aug
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Sportivo Barracas
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Sacachispas
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Nuevo and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Puerto Nuevo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Paraguayo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Puerto Nuevo 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Puerto Nuevo vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
