Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Puerto Nuevo to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Nuevo to win ✓38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Leandro N. Alem take on Puerto Nuevo on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Leandro N. Alem are 13th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Puerto Nuevo sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Leandro N. Alem's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Juventud Unida 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Puerto Nuevo's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Defensores de Cambaceres 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Puerto Nuevo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Leandro N. Alem and 1.2 for Puerto Nuevo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leandro N. Alem 36%, draw 26%, Puerto Nuevo 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Puerto Nuevo to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Puerto Nuevo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leandro N. Alem36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Puerto Nuevo38%fair 2.61 · @2.88
2.26Expected goals
1.11Leandro N. Alem xG
1.15Puerto Nuevo xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Leandro N. Alem 1.1 – 1.2 Puerto Nuevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Nuevo to win✓
38%
2.61
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Nuevo / FT Puerto Nuevo✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Lugano
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Central Ballester
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
27 Jul
@ Sacachispas
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Canuelas
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Puerto Nuevo – last 6
LDDWDL
23 Aug
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
0–2
L
14 Aug
vs Yupanqui
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Juventud Unida
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Sacachispas
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Argentino Rosario
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs Fénix
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leandro N. Alem and Puerto Nuevo.
What is the prediction for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
On our numbers Leandro N. Alem have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Puerto Nuevo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our predicted score is Leandro N. Alem 1–1 Puerto Nuevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo?
Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.