Value bet: Victoriano Arenas to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVictoriano Arenas to win ✗37% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.62
Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas preview and prediction
The match
Estrella Del Sur host Victoriano Arenas in the Primera C on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Estrella Del Sur are 3rd with 48 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Victoriano Arenas sit 6th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Estrella Del Sur's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Centro Español 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Victoriano Arenas's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Berazategui 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Estrella Del Sur and 0.9 for Victoriano Arenas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrella Del Sur 36%, draw 27%, Victoriano Arenas 37%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Victoriano Arenas to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Victoriano Arenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrella Del Sur36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.65
Victoriano Arenas37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
1.78Expected goals
0.88Estrella Del Sur xG
0.89Victoriano Arenas xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 0.9 – 0.9 Victoriano Arenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoriano Arenas to win✗
37%
2.74
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.62
–
Form
Estrella Del Sur – last 6
LWWLDW
24 Aug
@ Centro Español
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Canuelas
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
4 Aug
vs Lujan
0–2
L
31 Jul
@ Mercedes
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Victoriano Arenas – last 6
WLDWDL
22 Aug
vs Berazategui
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs General Lamadrid
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Lugano
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Centro Español
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Del Sur and Victoriano Arenas.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Victoriano Arenas 37%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Victoriano Arenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas?
Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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