Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud Unida to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Juventud Unida vs Mercedes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Juventud Unida take on Mercedes on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Juventud Unida are 8th with 45 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Mercedes sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juventud Unida's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Leandro N. Alem 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Mercedes's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Sacachispas 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.3 for Juventud Unida and 0.8 for Mercedes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Juventud Unida 1–0 Mercedes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventud Unida50%fair 2.01 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.88
Mercedes26%fair 3.79 · @3.85
2.07Expected goals
1.27Juventud Unida xG
0.81Mercedes xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventud Unida 1.3 – 0.8 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Unida to win✓
50%
2.01
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud Unida / FT Juventud Unida✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Juventud Unida – last 6
WLWDWW
25 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Puerto Nuevo
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Claypole
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Defensores de Cambaceres
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
WLLDWW
22 Aug
vs Sacachispas
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Claypole
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Unida and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Juventud Unida have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mercedes 26%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Juventud Unida 1–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Juventud Unida vs Mercedes?
Juventud Unida vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central Ballester2
Yupanqui0