San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo preview and prediction
The match
Argentino de Merlo travel to Francisco Boga Stadium in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 3 October (19:00 WAT) to face San Martín Burzaco. San Martín Burzaco are 12th with 51 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Argentino de Merlo sit 13th on 50 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Talleres Remedios 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Villa San Carlos 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
San Martín Burzaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for San Martín Burzaco and 0.9 for Argentino de Merlo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martín Burzaco 44%, draw 25%, Argentino de Merlo 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Argentino de Merlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Burzaco44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
Argentino de Merlo31%fair 3.22 · @3.40
1.97Expected goals
1.11San Martín Burzaco xG
0.86Argentino de Merlo xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.1 – 0.9 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martín Burzaco to win✓
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martín Burzaco / FT San Martín Burzaco✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.56
–
Form
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
LWWDLW
26 Sep
@ Talleres Remedios
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Deportivo Laferrere
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Brown DE Adrogue
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Deportivo Armenio
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Flandria
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
LWLLDL
26 Sep
vs Villa San Carlos
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Liniers
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Real Pilar
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ UAI Urquiza
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martín Burzaco and Argentino de Merlo.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Argentino de Merlo 31%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 1–1 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo?
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
