Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes preview and prediction
The match
Defensores Unidos host Argentino Quilmes in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox. Defensores Unidos are 19th with 46 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Argentino Quilmes sit 17th on 47 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Defensores Unidos's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Ituzaingó 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Quilmes's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Comunicaciones 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Defensores Unidos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Defensores Unidos and 0.8 for Argentino Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Defensores Unidos 45%, draw 24%, Argentino Quilmes 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Defensores Unidos 1–1 Argentino Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Defensores Unidos45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Argentino Quilmes31%fair 3.18 · @3.10
1.82Expected goals
1.03Defensores Unidos xG
0.79Argentino Quilmes xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Defensores Unidos 1.0 – 0.8 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensores Unidos to win✗
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Form
Defensores Unidos – last 6
WLWDDW
25 Sep
@ Ituzaingó
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Comunicaciones
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Dock Sud
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Merlo
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Deportivo Camioneros
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Argentino Quilmes – last 6
DDWLLL
27 Sep
vs Comunicaciones
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Dock Sud
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Camioneros
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Sportivo Italiano
0–2
L
25 Aug
@ San Martín Burzaco
2–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensores Unidos and Argentino Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers Defensores Unidos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentino Quilmes 31%.
How many goals will there be in Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Defensores Unidos 1–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes?
Defensores Unidos vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
