Value bet: Flandria to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✓40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria preview and prediction
The match
Sportivo Italiano host Flandria in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Republica de Italia Stadium. Sportivo Italiano are 3rd with 72 points from 42 games (in the top four), while Flandria sit 14th on 49 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sportivo Italiano's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Argentino Quilmes 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flandria's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat San Martín Burzaco 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Sportivo Italiano and 0.9 for Flandria. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sportivo Italiano 40%, draw 27%, Flandria 33%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Flandria to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Flandria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Italiano40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Flandria33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
1.97Expected goals
1.05Sportivo Italiano xG
0.92Flandria xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Italiano 1.1 – 0.9 Flandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Italiano to win✓
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Form
Sportivo Italiano – last 6
WLLWWD
29 Aug
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Defensores Unidos
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Dock Sud
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Merlo
4–0
W
1 Aug
vs Deportivo Camioneros
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Flandria – last 6
WLWDDL
30 Aug
vs San Martín Burzaco
2–0
W
25 Aug
@ Villa San Carlos
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Liniers
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Real Pilar
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs UAI Urquiza
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Villa Dalmine
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Italiano and Flandria.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria?
On our numbers Sportivo Italiano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Flandria 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Italiano 1–0 Flandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria?
Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Republica de Italia Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
