Value bet: Arsenal Sarandi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.52
Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal Sarandi travel to Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 5 September (19:00 WAT) to face Villa Dalmine. Villa Dalmine are 6th with 68 points from 42 games (in the top half), while Arsenal Sarandi sit 2nd on 77 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Villa Dalmine's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Argentino de Merlo 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arsenal Sarandi's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Excursionistas 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Villa Dalmine and 0.9 for Arsenal Sarandi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Dalmine 35%, draw 29%, Arsenal Sarandi 37%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Arsenal Sarandi to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Villa Dalmine 0–0 Arsenal Sarandi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Dalmine35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.50
Arsenal Sarandi37%fair 2.73 · @3.10
1.77Expected goals
0.87Villa Dalmine xG
0.90Arsenal Sarandi xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–115%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 0.9 – 0.9 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Sarandi to win✓
37%
2.73
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.52
–
Form
Villa Dalmine – last 6
DDWWLW
30 Aug
@ Argentino de Merlo
0–0
D
25 Aug
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Deportivo Laferrere
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Brown DE Adrogue
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Flandria
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Arsenal Sarandi – last 6
WWDLDD
29 Aug
vs Excursionistas
3–0
W
25 Aug
vs Ituzaingó
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Argentino de Merlo
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Laferrere
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and Arsenal Sarandi.
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Arsenal Sarandi 37%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 0–0 Arsenal Sarandi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
