San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Argentino Quilmes to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Quilmes to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.09
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes preview and prediction
The match
Argentino Quilmes travel to Francisco Boga Stadium in the Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday 25 August (19:00 WAT) to face San Martín Burzaco. San Martín Burzaco are 12th with 51 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Argentino Quilmes sit 17th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Defensores Unidos 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Argentino Quilmes's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Villa San Carlos 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Quilmes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 April 2026, finished Argentino Quilmes 3–0 San Martín Burzaco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.0 for Argentino Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Argentino Quilmes to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: San Martín Burzaco 0–1 Argentino Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Burzaco36%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.90
Argentino Quilmes39%fair 2.59 · @3.10
1.97Expected goals
0.96San Martín Burzaco xG
1.02Argentino Quilmes xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Martín Burzaco 1.0 – 1.0 Argentino Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
On our numbers San Martín Burzaco have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Argentino Quilmes 39%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
Our predicted score is San Martín Burzaco 0–1 Argentino Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes?
San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino Quilmes (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Boga Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
