Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Julio Humberto GrondonaArsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingó prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.8 – 0.5 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arsenal Sarandi are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 10% for Ituzaingó.
Arsenal Sarandi have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 0.5 per game. Ituzaingó have 4 points from their last 6 (0W 4D 2L), averaging 0.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Arsenal Sarandi, 0.5 for Ituzaingó). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Arsenal Sarandi have won 0, Ituzaingó have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal Sarandi to win ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | Arsenal Sarandi or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Arsenal Sarandi ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.66 | – |
Form
Arsenal Sarandi – last 6
| 22 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Jul | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Deportivo Armenio | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Flandria | 1–0 | W |
Ituzaingó – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Deportivo Merlo | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Argentino de Merlo | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | vs Deportivo Camioneros | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jul | vs Sportivo Italiano | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 14 Apr 2026 | Ituzaingó v Arsenal Sarandi | 0–0 |
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingó?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingó?
On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ituzaingó 10%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingó?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingó?
Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.