Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cobán Imperial to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarquense to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial preview and prediction
The match
Marquense host Cobán Imperial in the Liga Nacional on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Cobán Imperial sit 6th on 32 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marquense's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Malacateco 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cobán Imperial's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Comunicaciones 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Marquense and 1.1 for Cobán Imperial. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Cobán Imperial to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Marquense 1–1 Cobán Imperial. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Cobán Imperial35%fair 2.86 · @3.50
2.36Expected goals
1.24Marquense xG
1.12Cobán Imperial xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.2 – 1.1 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marquense to win✓
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marquense / FT Marquense✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Marquense – last 6
WDLDLW
8 Mar
vs Malacateco
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Guastatoya
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Municipal
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cobán Imperial – last 6
WDDWLD
15 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Antigua GFC
2–2
D
5 Mar
vs Xelajú
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Malacateco
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Guastatoya
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Municipal
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Cobán Imperial.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Marquense have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cobán Imperial 35%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–1 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Cobán Imperial?
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
