Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarquense to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.24
Marquense vs Malacateco preview and prediction
The match
Malacateco travel to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 8 March (03:00 WAT) to face Marquense. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Malacateco sit 10th on 22 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Marquense's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Guastatoya 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Malacateco's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Comunicaciones 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Marquense and 0.7 for Malacateco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Marquense to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marquense 1–0 Malacateco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.00
Malacateco13%fair 7.49 · @3.80
2.37Expected goals
1.72Marquense xG
0.65Malacateco xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.7 – 0.7 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marquense to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Marquense or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Marquense ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marquense / FT Marquense✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.24
–
Form
Marquense – last 6
DLDLWL
5 Mar
vs Guastatoya
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Municipal
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Malacateco – last 6
LDLDWD
4 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Xelajú
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guastatoya
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Malacateco.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Marquense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Marquense vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Marquense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Malacateco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Malacateco?
Marquense vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
