Xelajú travel to Estadio Verapaz in the Liga Nacional on Thursday 5 March (22:00 WAT) to face Cobán Imperial. Cobán Imperial are 6th with 32 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Xelajú sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Cobán Imperial's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Malacateco 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Xelajú's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Mictlán 2–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Xelajú arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Cobán Imperial and 1.0 for Xelajú. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Cobán Imperial or draw (80%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cobán Imperial 1–1 Xelajú. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cobán Imperial56%fair 1.80 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Xelajú20%fair 5.10 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.50Cobán Imperial xG
1.01Xelajú xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.5 – 1.0 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Cobán Imperial
Xelajú
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+2%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.16
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobán Imperial to win✗
56%
1.80
1.77
Double chance
Cobán Imperial or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Cobán Imperial – last 4
WLDL
24 Feb
vs Malacateco
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Guastatoya
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Municipal
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Aurora
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Xelajú – last 5
WDWLW
2 Mar
vs Mictlán
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Marquense
4–2
W
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobán Imperial and Xelajú.
What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Xelajú 20%.
How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Cobán Imperial 1–1 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú?
Cobán Imperial vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
