Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuastatoya to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chanceGuastatoya or draw ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.99
Guastatoya vs Malacateco preview and prediction
The match
Guastatoya host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT). Guastatoya are 7th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Malacateco sit 10th on 22 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Guastatoya and 0.8 for Malacateco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Guastatoya 1–0 Malacateco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guastatoya60%fair 1.65 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.20
Malacateco19%fair 5.14 · @4.50
2.46Expected goals
1.67Guastatoya xG
0.79Malacateco xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.7 – 0.8 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guastatoya to win✗
60%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Guastatoya or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
Guastatoya
No recent results on record.
Malacateco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Malacateco.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Malacateco 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Malacateco?
Guastatoya vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
