Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Manuel Felipe CarreraMunicipal vs Achuapa prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Municipal 2.0 – 0.6 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Municipal are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 10% for Achuapa.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Municipal, 0.6 for Achuapa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (15%), 3–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Municipal to win ✗ | 72% | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | Municipal or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Municipal ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Municipal / FT Municipal ✗ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 15% | 6.55 | – |
Form
Municipal
No recent results on record.
Achuapa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Achuapa.
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Municipal vs Achuapa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Municipal vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Municipal have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Achuapa 10%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Municipal vs Achuapa?
Municipal vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.