Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Guillermo SlowingAurora vs Cobán Imperial prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cobán Imperial to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Aurora 1.3 – 1.3 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Aurora and Cobán Imperial on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Aurora, 1.3 for Cobán Imperial). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Cobán Imperial to win at 3.00 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Aurora to win ✓ | 38% | 2.64 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.29 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Aurora / FT Aurora ✗ | 21% | 4.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
Aurora
No recent results on record.
Cobán Imperial
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aurora and Cobán Imperial.
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Aurora vs Cobán Imperial?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aurora vs Cobán Imperial?
On our numbers Aurora have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cobán Imperial 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Cobán Imperial?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Aurora vs Cobán Imperial?
Aurora vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.